Any chaos will be in Kent ( and other UK lorry parks )

The UK Government  narrative is clear. If there's friction exporting to the EU and it's "all a bit slipshod and disorganised and there's therefore chaos because of failure of the EU to plan" then HMG is going to blame the direct consequences of leaving the Customs Union and Single Market on the EU. We've left the EU and at the end of the year we exit the Withdrawal Agreement's Transition Period that's been in place since the 1st of Feb. During the Transition Period we continued to be in the Customs Union and Single Market although no longer an EU member. That's what's kept our imports and exports flowing freely since then. It means we're yet to feel the practical effects of Brexit. Next year the EU will continue to exist and operate its Customs Union and Single Market. With or without an FTA, as we'll be outside the Customs Union and Single Market and a third country, all our exports to the EU will be subject to checks at the border. Wh
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To deal or no deal?

There is a lot of truth in this Telegraph article in that a no-deal Brexit is not markedly worse than an FTA-Brexit.

In essence, with both types of Brexit all UK exports to the EU will be subject the regulatory and customs checks. The regulatory and customs checks are both consequences of the UK leaving the Single Market and Customs Union respectively.

With a FTA-Brexit compared to a no-deal Brexit, we'll have fewer if any quotas on exports to the EU and the tariff we have to pay will be less. Either way we'll have to make customs declarations and have them processed by EU customs.

However, with both types of Brexit everything we export to the EU will still have to conform to EU standards and we'll no longer be able to certify that conformity ( only EU member states can ) and will have to have our conformation declarations authorised by an EU member.

With both types of Brexit all the animal products we export to the EU will need to be checked too.

Tough and costly times ahead with both a no-deal or a FTA-Brexit.

As it look increasingly unlikely that a deal will be done will Johnson, who now has a free hand in making a deal as Parliament has again voted no have no oversight in the matter, go for glory and sign a deal that removes all this friction?

He might but he'd have to sign up, in effect if not name, membership of the Single Market and the Customs Union.

Look how he was praised for doing the impossible and getting the EU to apparently 'reopen the Withdrawal Agreement'.

The Telegraph article has this to say on that:

Politically, the Prime Minister has more to gain from signing a deal than from not signing one. If you think back to last autumn, he was hailed as some sort of latter day Messiah for agreeing to essentially the same deal with the EU that Mrs. May had rejected out of hand.

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